Imperfect Perfection: A Closer Look at Mariano Rivera’s Failures
(The following is being syndicated from The Captain’s Blog).
Mariano Rivera’s accomplishments can’t be overstated. But, what can we say about his failures?
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Over 17 seasons, the reliever has consistently dominated the opposition, compiling an astounding ERA+ of 205, which is the highest total by any pitcher throwing over 1,000 innings. Incredibly, he has been even better in the post season, where his 0.71 ERA in 139 2/3 innings is without compare. In other words, Rivera’s superhuman reputation is certainly well deserved.
Because there are so many ways to trumpet Rivera’s successes, it’s easy to take him for granted. That’s why it’s still a shock when the Yankees’ closer blows a save. Even at the age of 41, Rivera still portrays an air of perfection, so those startling glimpses of his mortality can often be unsettling.
Despite the considerable amount of evidence suggesting otherwise, Rivera is a human being. After all, he has blown 68 regular season saves in his career. However, even in his failures, the future Hall of Famer has managed to stand out.
Picking Up the Pieces: Top Closers Performance In Blown Saves
Player | W | L | W-L% | ERA | IP | WHIP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 22 | 0.436 | 11.01 | 85 | 2.44 | |
23 | 37 | 0.383 | 9.99 | 121.2 | 2.67 | |
15 | 25 | 0.375 | 12.01 | 81.2 | 2.28 | |
26 | 45 | 0.366 | 7.45 | 206.2 | 1.97 | |
18 | 33 | 0.353 | 11.96 | 122.2 | 2.5 | |
11 | 21 | 0.344 | 12.68 | 71 | 2.61 | |
20 | 39 | 0.339 | 11.89 | 125.2 | 2.75 | |
11 | 26 | 0.297 | 12.34 | 73.2 |
2.84
|
|
12 | 31 | 0.279 | 17.29 | 76 | 2.92 | |
9 | 25 | 0.265 | 19.97 | 48.2 |
3.49
|
Rivera’s ability to regroup after giving up a lead is another tribute to his reliability as a closer. Compared to the other relievers who rank among the top-10 leaders in saves, Rivera heads the list in terms of winning percentage after blowing a save. The Yankees’ closer has also been relatively proficient in avoiding the walk off. On only 19 of 837 games finished has Rivera had to take a long, lonely walk from the mound while the opposition circled the bases. Among the all-time saves leaders, only Billy Wagner has been better at avoided such ignominy.
Walk of Shame
Player | Walk Offs | GF | % | SV | BS | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Billy Wagner | 13 | 703 | 1.8% | 422 | 69 | 85.9% |
Mariano Rivera | 19 | 837 | 2.2% | 566 | 68 | 89.3% |
Troy Percival | 15 | 546 | 2.7% | 358 | 57 | 86.3% |
Dennis Eckersley | 16 | 577 | 2.7% | 390 | 71 | 84.6% |
Trevor Hoffman | 30 | 856 | 3.4% | 601 | 76 | 88.8% |
Lee Smith | 29 | 803 | 3.5% | 478 | 103 | 82.3% |
Jeff Reardon | 27 | 695 | 3.7% | 367 | 106 | 77.6% |
John Franco | 36 | 774 | 4.4% | 424 | 101 | 80.8% |
Randy Myers | 32 | 548 | 5.5% | 347 | 61 | 85.0% |
Rollie Fingers | 46 | 709 | 6.1% | 341 | 109 | 75.8% |
Breakdown of Rivera’s Walk Offs
Opposing Batters | Team | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|
Keith Lockhart | KC | 8/2/1996 | Double |
Moises Alou | FLA | 6/15/1997 | E-4 |
Matt Franco | NYM | 7/10/1999 | Single |
Jose Valentin | CHW | 6/23/2000 | Single |
Robert Fick
|
DET | 6/27/2000 | FC |
Manny Ramirez | BOS | 4/13/2001 | Single |
Jerry Hairston | BAL | 9/21/2001 | Single |
Bill Selby
|
CLE | 7/14/2002 | Grand Slam |
Miguel Tejada | OAK | 8/23/2003 | Double |
Bill Mueller | BOS | 7/24/2004 | HR |
Justin Morneau | MIN | 4/15/2006 | Single |
David Wright | NYM | 5/19/2006 | Single |
Vernon Wells | TOR | 7/20/2006 | HR |
Marco Scutaro | OAK | 4/15/2007 | HR |
Gabe Gross | TBR | 5/13/2008 | Single |
Chone Figgins | LAA | 8/10/2008 | Single |
Ichiro Suzuki | SEA | 9/18/2009 | HR |
David Murphy | TEX | 8/10/2010 | Single |
Jeff Francoeur | TEX | 9/11/2010 | HBP |
In the 68 games in which he has blown a save, Rivera has allowed two or fewer runs in 59 (including eight blown saves with no runs allowed), which helps explain why the Yankees have been able to come back and win so many. It’s also worth noting that the four hits off Rivera in yesterday’s game were the second most he has ever surrendered. On three other occasions, Rivera allowed five hits in an appearance (including one two inning stint), but never more than that.
Games in Which Rivera Has Surrendered More than Three Runs
Date | Opp | Rslt | IP | H | R | ER | Pit |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7/14/2002 | CLE | L 7-10 | 2/3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 32 |
4/6/2005 | BOS | L 3-7 | 2/3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 38 |
8/2/1996 | KCR | L 3-4 | 2/3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 28 |
7/16/1999 | ATL | L 7-10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
April has historically been Rivera’s “weakest” month, so yesterday’s bump in the road fits nicely with that pattern. However, heading into the game, Mariano had only blown one save in 24 attempts at SkyDome. Despite the set back, his conversion rate of 92.3% in Toronto is still one of his highest on the road. Listed below is a further breakdown of Rivera’s blown saves, based on both opponent and month.
Mariano Rivera’s Save Percentage By Month
Month | Sv | BS | % | Walk offs |
---|---|---|---|---|
March/April | 81 | 16 | 83.5% | 7 |
May | 94 | 5 | 94.9% | 2 |
June | 109 | 9 | 92.4% | 3 |
July | 96 | 11 | 89.7% | 9 |
August | 104 | 18 | 85.2% | 6 |
September/October | 82 | 9 | 90.1% | 5 |
Mariano Rivera’s Save Percentage Versus Opponent
American League | National League | |||||||
Team | Sv | BS | % | Team | Sv | BS | % | |
TBD | 57 | 1 | 98.3% | PHI | 5 | 0 | 100% | |
KCR | 32 | 2 | 94.1% | CHC | 3 | 0 | 100% | |
SEA | 32 | 2 | 94.1% | HOU | 3 | 0 | 100% | |
CHW | 39 | 3 | 92.9% | SD | 3 | 0 | 100% | |
BAL | 66 | 6 | 91.7% | STL | 3 | 0 | 100% | |
CLE | 29 | 3 | 90.6% | ARI | 2 | 0 | 100% | |
DET | 29 | 3 | 90.6% | SF | 2 | 0 | 100% | |
MIN | 30 | 4 | 88.2% | CIN | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
TEX | 36 | 5 | 87.8% | LAD | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
TOR | 43 | 6 | 87.8% | NYM | 20 | 1 | 95.2% | |
OAK | 33 | 5 | 86.8% | ATL | 8 | 1 | 88.9% | |
BOS | 51 | 13 | 79.7% | FLA | 6 | 2 | 75.0% | |
ANA | 23 | 8 | 74.2% | MIL | 3 | 1 | 75.0% | |
MON/WSN | 4 | 2 | 66.7% | |||||
PIT | 0 | 0 | NA |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Mariano Rivera’s Save Percentage in Road Ballparks
American League | National League | |||||||
Team | Sv | BS | % | Team | Sv | BS | % | |
TBD | 33 | 1 | 97.1% | ATL | 5 | 0 | 100% | |
TOR | 24 | 2 | 92.3% | PHI | 3 | 0 | 100% | |
CHW | 20 | 2 | 90.9% | ARI | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
BAL | 37 | 4 | 90.2% | CHC | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
SEA | 17 | 2 | 89.5% | LAD | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
TEX | 17 | 2 | 89.5% | SF | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
CLE | 16 | 2 | 88.9% | STL | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
KCR | 14 | 2 | 87.5% | NYM | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | |
MIN | 16 | 3 | 84.2% | FLA | 3 | 2 | 60.0% | |
BOS | 31 | 7 | 81.6% | MON/WSN | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | |
ANA | 13 | 3 | 81.3% | CIN | 0 | 0 | NA | |
OAK | 17 | 4 | 81.0% | HOU | 0 | 0 | NA | |
DET | 8 | 2 | 80.0% | MIL | 0 | 0 | NA | |
PIT | 0 | 0 | NA | |||||
SD | 0 | 0 | NA |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Failure often puts success in its proper perspective. For many, it can serve as a reality check, but for the truly great ones, it almost serves as the exception that proves the rule. Such is the case for Mariano, who, even when he falls, still seems to rise above all others.
3 Responses to Imperfect Perfection: A Closer Look at Mariano Rivera’s Failures
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Mo is the best ever. No matter what! When he goes into the hall of fame, i plan on being there. You can be on pins and needles the whole game, but when that bullpen door opens and Mariano runs out, you breathe a sigh of relief…its over. period. THere never has been and there never will be another Mariano Rivera. I hope he keeps going a few more years for us!
[Reply]
Who cares about Mo’s blown saves?
Jeter is horrendous. Cashman should give him ’til May 1st to get his act together with the bat and if Jeter can’t, Jeter should be dropped to seventh.
Granderson
Swisher
Teixiera
Rodriguez
Cano
Posada
Jeter
Martin
Gardner/Jones
Time for Jeter to seriously consider early retirement if he has another crap year this year, unless he thinks it’s o.k. to be a shadow of his through 2009 self for $15M or more a year.
[Reply]
Off subject! I noticed Matt Purke is being shut down because of shoulder problems. Do you think the yanks might take a flier on him in the first round like the did with Brackman? I guess it depends on the injury.
[Reply]