Fun with small samples

By Matt Imbrogno On April 22, 2011 · 7 Comments · In Statistical Analysis

It’s late April, so we’re getting to the point where the stats we see in the batters’ graphics every night will start to (kind of) mean something. But, it’s also still early enough that there are some ridiculous stat lines up there.

Let’s start with IsoP. Currently, the Yankees have SIX (!!) players in the top ten of the American League’s IsoP leaderboard. leads the pack with a .418 mark. is right behind him at .415, and is third at .379. and his .300 mark are in sixth place while (.294) and (.273) are in seventh and tenth respectively.

If I told you that had the same IsoP as , you’d probably be pretty pumped, right? Cust has a career IsoP of .201 and has been at .177 and .166 in the last two seasons. Sadly, this year, that carbon-copy IsoP is a bad thing for both players. Both Jeter and Cust have .016 IsoP marks, good for a tie for dead last in the American League ( has the sixth worst mark at .036).

Robinson Cano has just one walk all season, leading to a 1.5% BB rate, which is obviously undesirable. Right now, Robbie has career high marks in O-Swing%, Z-Swing%, and overall Swing%. , by the way, has zero walks.

and are tied for an AL worst .162 wOBA, while A-Rod and his .510 wOBA lead the league with Russell Martin (.434), Curtis Granderson (.433), and Mark Teixeira (.431) placing sixth, seventh, and eighth. If he had enough PAs at the same pace, ‘s .421 wOBA would be tenth, just ahead of (um…) and his .417 mark.

Jorge Posada has five homers, eight walks (seven uBB, one IBB), and 13 strikeouts. 26 of his 58 plate appearances have ended in one of the Three True Outcomes, which makes a 44.83% mark. His career mark is 38.63%.

The Yankees are the only AL team that has two players already reach at least 1.0 fWAR–Curtis Granderson: 1.3, Alex Rodriguez: 1.0.

None of these numbers are going to last, but it’s fun to look at them and see how awesomely certain guys are playing at the beginning of the season. It’s also nice to look at things like a .162 wOBA from Gardner and super low IsoPs from Jeter and Swisher and know they’re going to turn around at some point.

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7 Responses to Fun with small samples

  1. Peter says:
    April 22, 2011 at 11:30 am

    isn’t it scary how much our offense is over-performing as well as Colon, Garcia, and Burnett somewhat over-performing too? Something tells me we need to make a big trade for a pitcher at some point this season or we will be watching the playoffs..We only have 1 pitcher that we can rely on and our offense will not continue to hit 1,000 home runs a game

    [Reply]

    Matt Imbrogno Reply:
    April 22nd, 2011 at 11:44 am

    No, they won’t hit all these home runs all year, but that doesn’t mean the run scoring will stop when the homers do. The team has an unsustainably low .260 BABIP right now. It’s likely that when the HRs stop flying, the singles and doubles will start to land, thus keeping the run scoring up.

    [Reply]

  2. dan says:
    April 22, 2011 at 12:07 pm

    Is there a quick reference link out there for definitions of all the saber abbreviations? Haven’t found a great one even on fangraphs.

    [Reply]

    Matt Imbrogno Reply:
    April 22nd, 2011 at 12:32 pm

    Try this from FG: http://www.fangraphs.com/library/ The stats are in the drop down tabs.

    [Reply]

  3. Tom "the fat guy" Lin says:
    April 22, 2011 at 12:25 pm

    I don’t worry about the low AVG from the hitters…
    I worry about the K% especially form the guys with no power…
    Gardner has 29.7 strike out rate(crawford 18.6%)…This is very bad number for him…I believe two hand swing can gain some power but he better knows how to adjust game plan in his batting box. Simply waiting for walks is definitely stupid for a MLB hitter.

    [Reply]

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